Tuesday, February 21, 2006

Boxing, a rare idea

This data is basically a hundred drops, with the quantity and price results. The results are based on an assumption that is not likely to be real, that they will always get bought up. If you look close you will see the problem with that assumption.

There is a bit of variation in the size of the drops...true in every industry. Shopping for ideas will require assessing the general trend rather than results of an individual drop. Scan down the quantity column. See the two '1304's? Note that the first one, at about 255 thousand ideas in existence, causes a healthy price increase, while the second, with about 285 thousand ides in existence, causes a slight drop. Beyond that you'll notice that there are a few huge drops that make the price jump, but basically the price is in decline. So much for the assumption, somewhere about 275 thousand total ideas people would start to sell. Ideas on the market would start getting consumed. What would happen to quantity and price? That depends on how many get dumped, how many are on the market at the drop times, and the speed of the wind at the north pole.












Initial Price: $26.17


Initial Quantity: 222,045


Total Idea Worth $18,831,123,046,708
Boxing
Total Player Worth $62,132,908,402,646


Total Number of Industries: 5,313








Quantity of
None Available

Drop
Quantity Price



222,045 $26.17

3,127
225,172 $42.67

401
225,573 $57.07

1,655
227,228 $89.99

3,311
230,539 $146.93

2,207
232,746 $235.44

284
233,030 $293.47

1,739
234,769 $463.31

2,006
236,775 $737.65

2,006
238,781 $1,173.82

268
239,049 $1,438.72

604
239,653 $2,033.30

503
240,156 $2,793.93

1,410
241,566 $4,333.93

302
241,868 $5,427.02

1,588
243,456 $8,489.89

602
244,058 $11,957.00

3,311
247,369 $19,459.39

1,505
248,874 $30,247.70

234
249,108 $35,674.03

1,705
250,813 $55,898.91

368
251,181 $71,978.40

652
251,833 $101,756.87

268
252,101 $122,641.66

602
252,703 $170,843.93

1,087
253,790 $255,602.17

1,304
255,094 $387,416.99

1,594
256,688 $593,167.38

568
257,256 $796,451.17

1,104
258,360 $1,154,957.41

568
258,928 $1,501,542.53

318
259,246 $1,709,391.87

502
259,748 $2,104,836.09

1,505
261,253 $2,937,260.30

502
261,755 $3,342,979.24

602
262,357 $3,834,381.12

1,672
264,029 $4,898,292.48

1,204
265,233 $5,643,719.03

4,280
269,513 $6,864,079.19

3,478
272,991 $7,571,477.83

5,350
278,341 $8,065,186.07

1,906
280,247 $7,550,060.04

1,806
282,053 $7,290,472.62

1,003
283,056 $6,541,533.32

1,505
284,561 $6,647,527.69

1,304
285,865 $6,541,753.85

167
286,032 $3,519,909.93

2,575
288,607 $4,621,244.00

1,338
289,945 $5,282,993.58

920
290,865 $5,415,662.18

836
291,701 $5,385,171.00

568
292,269 $4,924,283.56

568
292,837 $4,683,590.80

368
293,205 $4,059,873.77

3,812
297,017 $5,235,806.10

184
297,201 $3,354,493.70

3,311
300,512 $4,472,453.97

3,494
304,006 $5,539,236.40

1,000
305,006 $5,476,520.79

850
305,856 $5,266,065.28

15,580
321,436 $6,441,654.97

600
322,036 $4,920,699.73

260
322,296 $3,427,462.97

440
322,736 $3,298,789.80

130
322,866 $2,255,345.25

560
323,426 $2,539,007.15

220
323,646 $2,209,122.65

1,400
325,046 $2,888,276.48

240
325,286 $2,474,638.61

360
325,646 $2,462,606.11

13,320
338,966 $3,562,896.72

240
339,206 $2,745,974.90

240
339,446 $2,329,913.78

220
339,666 $2,020,104.63

190
339,856 $1,741,422.28

200
340,056 $1,567,997.13

180
340,236 $1,399,594.05

120
340,356 $1,152,292.99

260
340,616 $1,174,585.38

700
341,316 $1,476,126.57

220
341,536 $1,397,462.30

22,040
363,576 $2,161,876.56

900
364,476 $2,567,061.61

150
364,626 $1,859,841.38

120
364,746 $1,400,839.49

240
364,986 $1,330,270.10

950
365,936 $1,705,906.41

14,980
380,916 $2,553,656.49

320
381,236 $2,244,721.18

380
381,616 $2,142,954.81

100
381,716 $1,443,980.12

600
382,316 $1,664,308.64

170
382,486 $1,373,377.16

420
382,906 $1,472,381.79

120
383,026 $1,143,259.57

100
383,126 $892,201.86

1,000
384,126 $1,180,810.75

150
384,276 $1,003,431.43

240
384,516 $975,913.18

150
384,666 $850,679.76

110
384,776 $703,486.99

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